Civil engineering is a shrinking field

Construction trends and forecasts up to 2045

important NOTE: Please always pay attention to the date of publication in brackets after the heading! Current reports on the construction industry can be found under "Current construction activity". There is also an archive on the construction industry that goes back to 1999.

for 2021: The construction industry looks to 2021 with cautious optimism and expects sales growth of around 1% (11.3.2021)
“We can look back on a complicated year 2020, which at least brought us sales growth of 2.5%. However, the year went very differently for our members. ”Read on

for 2021: Zero growth for 2021: Construction companies are cautiously positive about the future (20.12.2020)
Construction has mastered the challenges posed by the Corona crisis well: While overall economic gross value added fell by 5.8% after adjustment for prices in the first three quarters, it increased by 2.0% in real terms in the construction industry. Continue reading

for 2021: “Trendometer 2021” for the construction / construction supply industry (30.11.2020)
On a scale from 1-10: What are the hot topics in the field of construction supplies in 2021? Which trends will the relevant players help through the second Corona year? What “impact” do you have on the industry? Continue reading

by 2021: Non-residential construction is running out of steam (1.9.2019)
The harbingers of the cooling economy are also having an impact on the completions forecast for non-residential construction in 2020. The current new building forecast by BauInfoConsult expects that the completion figures for non-residential construction will slide into the red in the next two years. Continue reading

Up to 2021: Ifo long-term forecast: Housing construction up, public construction on a downward path (20.3.2012)
Thanks to the rising demand for residential construction, construction activity in Germany will increase moderately over the next ten years. In 2021, the construction volume is expected to reach around 262 billion euros (in 2000 prices), which is almost 3% above the 2011 figure. Continue reading

from 2021: Study: The energy transition threatens a big dent from 2021 (Construction letter from 1.3.2017)
A WindGuard study with the title “Continued operation of wind turbines after 2020” comes to the conclusion that the old mills produce energy extremely cheaply. In the long term, however, the price of electricity on the exchange would have to rise. Continue reading

until 2021: Euroconstruct sees Europe's construction industry on a flattening growth path until 2021 (24.1.2019)
The European construction industry will continue to grow into 2021 - albeit with a declining performance: Euroconstruct expects the increase to be only 2% in 2019; an increase of only 1.3% is expected for 2021. Continue reading

until 2021: PwC study on growth in the construction supplier industry until 2021: "The fat years are over" (10.3.2019)
The boom phase in the construction industry is drawing to a close. Industry representatives are still anticipating growth of 4.2% for 2019; for 2021, however, their expectations are only a total of 3.8%. Continue reading

until 2022: Euroconstruct lowers its forecast for the European construction industry again (8.12.2019)
According to updated data, construction output in the 19 Euroconstruct countries grew by 3.2% to around 1,600 billion euros in 2018. This means that even after five years of continuous growth, the peak value from before the 2008 financial crisis has still not been reached. Continue reading

by 2022: Global economy: Ailing productivity becomes the greatest risk (Construction letter from January 14, 2018)
The world economy is on the upswing for the first time since the global financial crisis. All of the major economies are likely to continue expanding over the next five years. However, the decline in productivity growth is a serious concern. Continue reading

by 2022: Market volume of lamps and luminaires well above the five billion mark in sales (18.7.2018)
The market for lights and lamps remains well above the five billion turnover mark and reached a volume of 5.35 billion euros in 2017 read more

by 2022: eco / ADL study for IFA: Smart home sales will triple in Germany alone by 2022 (10.9.2017)
The smart home market is booming and could triple its volume to 4.3 billion euros by 2022. According to the study “The German Smart Home Market 2017-2022.” By the Association of the Internet Industry (eco) and Arthur D. Little, the average annual growth rate over the next five years will be 26.4%. Continue reading

by 2022: Roland Berger analysis: Large networked household appliances will be standard in 2022 (4.4.2018)
The market for white goods - i.e. washing machines and co. - is becoming ever narrower: Ten large suppliers now control 63% of the global market. And while established manufacturers are struggling with falling margins in saturated markets, Asian suppliers have been able to significantly expand their position worldwide. Continue reading

by 2023: External venetian blind markets expect a rapid rebound in 2023 (2.7.2020)
The strong upward trend in recent years in the market volume for external venetian blinds in the European top 7 markets (Germany, Austria, Switzerland, Italy, France, Spain, Poland) will be interrupted due to COVID-19 - this interruption is expected to be short-term. Continue reading

by 2025: Where buying real estate in Germany can be worthwhile in the future (20.7.2014)
For Postbank, Prognos has determined the future prospects of all 402 German districts and independent cities and transferred them to the “Real Estate Value 2025” index. Accordingly, the conditions for buying apartments and houses are promising in many places. Continue reading

by 2025: BBSR housing market forecast 2025: New building demand yes, but not throughout Germany (14.8.2011)
The housing markets in Germany have changed significantly in recent years. On the one hand, shrinking population figures are evident in excess supply and vacant apartments. These are no longer limited to individual regions - not even to the new federal states. Continue reading

by 2030: Postbank Housing Atlas 2021: Where residential property will increase in value by 2030 (2.5.2021)
On the German housing market, prices will continue to rise after the Corona crisis - this is the conclusion of the Postbank Housing Atlas 2021, for which experts from the Hamburg World Economic Institute have drawn up a purchase price forecast up to 2030. Continue reading

by 2030: Window industry 2030 in a short S&B Strategy study (25.10.2020)
On the occasion of the changes in the construction industry caused by COVID-19, S&B Strategy has written a short study on the challenges facing the window industry. Trends and developments such as digitization, COVID-19 and “EU Green Recovery” were examined for their effects on the window industry. Continue reading

by 2030: Postbank Housing Atlas 2018: Real estate prices will rise by 2030 (27.3.2018)
Real estate prices will continue to rise, particularly in the urban centers and the surrounding areas. In more than half of the 401 German districts and cities, house and apartment owners can assume that their property will increase in value by at least 2030. Continue reading

for 2030: Home ownership rate 2030 ... and what politics should do for a better rate (5.2.2021)
The Berlin research institute Empirica has carried out an update as part of its home ownership study for the state building societies on the basis of the current sample of income and consumption (see article from 5.1.2021). Continue reading

by 2030: Global construction market grows to US $ 15.5 trillion (15.11.2015)
Global Construction Perspectives and Oxford Economics published the Global Construction 2030 report in London on November 10th. According to this, the construction volume will grow worldwide by 85% to 15.5 trillion dollars by 2030. Continue reading

by 2030: Agora study “Heat transition 2030”: Five million heat pumps, the same amount of gas, much less oil (20.3.2017)
How are buildings heated when energy sources such as oil and natural gas are no longer allowed to be used because the German climate target - 80 to 95% less CO₂ than in 1990 - cannot be achieved with them? Continue reading

by 2030: Study: Wind and sun by 2030 at the latest in all G20 countries cheapest power sources (5.7.2017)
In around half of the G20 countries, renewable energies have been cheaper than conventional electricity since 2015 - or at least not more expensive. By 2030 at the latest, however, renewables should then be the cheapest form of electricity generation in all 20 countries. Continue reading

by 2030: Trend study "Smart Building 2030: Business models in the security technology of the future" (18.12.2017)
The Berlin security specialist Schlentzek & Kühn, together with the fire protection specialist Hekatron and trend researchers from the 2b Ahead think tank, published the trend study “Smart Building 2030: Business Models in Security Technology of the Future”. Continue reading

by 2030: BBSR population forecast 2030: The number of people over 80 is increasing sharply (25.11.2012)
Germans are getting older and older. By 2030, the average age of the population will rise from the current 43 years to over 47 years, in large parts of eastern Germany to over 50 years. The greatest increases are among those over 80 years of age. Their number will increase by around 60 percent by 2030. Continue reading

by 2030: The per capita living space requirement will continue to grow until 2030 (13.12.2009)
In terms of living space per capita, people in the new federal states will overtake compatriots from the west by 2030. This is the result of a current forecast by the Berlin research institute empirica on behalf of the state building societies. Continue reading

by 2030: Urbanization will devour 300,000 km² of particularly valuable arable land (28.12.2016)
As a result of the expansion of the cities, 300,000 km² of fertile arable land will be lost globally by 2030 - that is roughly the size of Germany. In 2000, this area made almost 4% of the world's food crops possible. Continue reading

by 2030: Solar power and storage will be the engine of jobs and the economy (Construction letter dated December 8th, 2019)
In order to avoid a power generation gap as a result of the nuclear and coal phase-out, photovoltaic and storage capacities must be expanded significantly. As a result, over 50,000 new jobs could be created in Germany by 2030. Continue reading

by 2035: ISE study: photovoltaics and onshore wind are the cheapest technologies in Germany (25.3.2018)
Researchers at the Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems have presented the fourth edition of their study on the production costs for electricity. It compares the current costs and forecasts further developments up to 2035. Continue reading

by 2035: Destatis: a good 43 million private households in 2035 (Construction letter dated February 27, 2017)
The number of private households will continue to grow until 2035. This is shown by the new budget forecast by the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis); In 2015 there were 40.8 million households. Continue reading

until 2035: Population and housing market forecast presented by the Ministry of Construction and BBSR (10.5.2015)
According to the new population and housing market forecast by the Federal Institute for Building, Urban and Spatial Planning (BBSR), the population will decrease by 3% to 78.2 million people by 2035. Although the overall decline is small, there are clear regional differences: read on

by 2035: Study “Wohnen 65plus” expects “gray housing shortage” in Germany (22.1.2019)
From 2035 Germany will be “really old” - and increasingly poorer with age. The current housing market will make it difficult for pensioners to still be able to afford living - at least that is what the market researchers at the Pestel Institute expect. Continue reading

by 2035: Living trends 2035: Digitization is revolutionizing living (18.11.2018)
Digitization is advancing at a rapid pace and, among other things, also ensures that living requirements are (can) become more and more diverse and demanding. Continue reading

by 2035: Energy transition: the HVAC industry alone will lack around 46,000 workers in 2035 (26.4.2018)
Germany’s energy policy goals are ambitious. How this affects the requirements of the world of work within building technology was investigated by Prognos on behalf of VdZ. Continue reading

by 2035: Study: New technologies will reduce demand for raw materials worldwide (Construction letter dated February 28, 2017)
New technologies will have a significant impact on global demand for raw materials over the next few years and will cause it to decline in the long term. Demand for oil, coal and iron ore is likely to have peaked as early as 2035. Continue reading

by 2040: New population forecast for urban and rural districts: 1.3 million fewer inhabitants by 2040 (14.3.2021)
According to the ninth population forecast by the Federal Institute for Building, Urban and Spatial Research (BBSR), the population in Germany will only decrease slightly to 81.9 million people by 2040. Continue reading

by 2040: Future study "Delphi Energy Future": Renewable energies will prevail by 2040 (23.3.2016)
For the future study "Delphi Energy Future", 350 experts from 40 countries were asked about their assessment of the development of global energy systems up to 2040. Accordingly, the energy world will change fundamentally: By then, renewable energies could play a dominant role in the global energy mix. Continue reading

until 2045: Study "Wohnen 2045" by Allianz and Prognos (20.3.2016)
According to a current study by Allianz and Prognos, the German population will grow to 85 million people by 2045. The study explains, among other things, 73% of the changes in the housing market with internal migration and 27% with immigration. Continue reading